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Updated 2026-01-03History
Page StatusAI Transition Model
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Human-Caused Catastrophe

Entry

Human-Caused Catastrophe

Model RoleCatastrophic Scenario
Primary DriversMisuse Potential
Sub-scenariosState actor misuse, Rogue actor misuse
Related
ai-transition-model-scenarios
ai-transition-model-factors

Human-Caused Catastrophe refers to scenarios where humans deliberately use AI capabilities to cause mass harm. Unlike AI Takeover scenarios, the AI itself may be functioning as intended - the catastrophe arises from human misuse.

Variants

Key Root Factors

Factor Impact Scores

Outcomes

Human-Caused Catastrophe scenarios primarily lead to:

  • Existential Catastrophe: Mass casualty events, civilizational collapse
  • May trigger Long-term Lock-in: Crisis enables authoritarian consolidation