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Summary

This page contains only React component imports with no actual content about AI algorithms, their capabilities, or their implications for AI risk. The page is effectively a placeholder or stub.

Issues1
StructureNo tables or diagrams - consider adding visual content

Algorithms (AI Capabilities)

Parameter

Algorithms (AI Capabilities)

This page contains only React component imports with no actual content about AI algorithms, their capabilities, or their implications for AI risk. The page is effectively a placeholder or stub.

0

Algorithmic progress determines how efficiently AI systems convert compute into capabilities. Unlike hardware, algorithms are intangible—discoveries spread instantly through publications, making direct governance nearly impossible.


MetricScoreInterpretation
Changeability20/100Very difficult to influence
X-risk Impact75/100High direct x-risk impact
Trajectory Impact85/100High long-term effects
Uncertainty55/100Moderate uncertainty

What Drives Algorithmic Progress?

Causal factors affecting AI algorithmic efficiency. Research shows 91% of gains are scale-dependent (Transformers, Chinchilla), coupling algorithmic progress to compute availability. Software optimizations (23x) dramatically outpace hardware improvements.

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Computing layout...
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Node Types
Root Causes
Derived
Direct Factors
Target
Arrow Strength
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Scenarios Influenced

ScenarioEffectStrength
AI Takeover↑ Increasesstrong
Human-Caused Catastrophe↑ Increasesmedium
Long-term Lock-in↑ Increasesmedium